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Roger Cohen's Lecture to Catalan's Populists Suffers from Bad ArithmeticRoger Cohen showed us yet again that it seems our children aren't learning when it comes to basic arithmetic skills. He used his NYT column to lecture the people of Catalan on their bad manners in seeking to become independent of Spain over the objections of both the national government and the European Union.
"The Catalan lurch is of its time. Yes, it’s about Catalan self-determination. But it’s also of a piece with the anti-establishment, anti-elitist, disruption-at-any-cost upheavals that have been buffeting and undermining the postwar liberal order in Europe.
"Of course, it’s precisely that order — embodied in the European Union and by the presence of the United States as an offsetting power in Europe — that over the past four decades has ushered Spain, and Catalonia within it, to a degree of prosperity and democratic stability unimaginable at Franco’s death. Spain is a poster child for European integration. So, of course, is Catalonia.
"But we have entered the Age of Amnesia."
So Cohen says that the European Union and the current world order have ushered in a period of unimaginable prosperity for Catalan and Spain, but the dumb masses just can't remember how bad things were in the bad old days because of their amnesia. Well, let's check the numbers.
CEPR / October 03, 2017
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Workers Were Older and More Highly Educated in 2015 than in 2005; Wages Were Stagnant or FellEileen Appelbaum / October 03, 2017
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Letter to OMB on Family and Medical Leave Act (FMLA) Wave 4 SurveysEileen Appelbaum and / October 03, 2017
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Paul Krugman Won't Give Paul Ryan Credit for Wanting to Eliminate the Federal GovernmentCEPR / October 03, 2017
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The Cost of Capping Medicare Out-of-Pocket Spending, a Good First Step Towards Medicare for AllAlan Barber and Dean Baker / October 02, 2017
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The Republicans' Tax Plan Will Impede GrowthDean Baker
Truthout, October 2, 2017
Dean Baker / October 02, 2017
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The Decline of the Center Left: No Happy Face for the Financial IndustryCEPR / October 02, 2017
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If Uber Leaves Due to Regulations, More Competent Companies Will Take Its PlaceCEPR / October 01, 2017
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Latin America and the Caribbean
Puerto Rico Needs More Hurricane Relief Now ? and a New Deal with Debt ReliefMark Weisbrot / September 30, 2017
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Republicans Condemn Their Leadership for Lack of Details in Tax PlanCEPR / September 30, 2017
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We Really Don't Have to Worry About Fairness for Pass-Through BusinessesNeil Irwin seems to get a bit lost in his concerns about treating owners of pass-through businesses fairly. His NYT Upshot column argues that there is a problem where we are left with a choice between large-scale evasion, treating them unfairly, and micro-monitoring their behavior. The story is actually far simpler than he presents it.
The basic story is that the tax rate on a pass-through business is zero. The business itself pays no taxes, all its income is passed on to its owner(s) to be taxed at the individual rate. As it stands now, the income from pass-through businesses is treated as ordinary income and taxed at the same rate as labor income.
The Republicans are proposing to put a cap on the tax for income from pass-through businesses at 25 percent. This means that high-income people who own pass-through businesses will be able to pay taxes at a 10 percentage point lower rate than the 35 percent top marginal rate they are proposing. (The savings are 14.6 percentage points compared to the current 39.6 percent top marginal tax rate.)
Irwin correctly points out that this gap will be an invitation for every high-end earner to set up a pass-through business so that they can pay a 25 percent tax rate on their income rather than a 35 percent rate. Treasury Secretary Mnunchin has noted this problem but said that the I.R.S. will scrutinize pass-through corporations to prevent this sort of scamming. (Mnuchin's claim must be taken with a continent worth of salt. The Republicans have worked for the last two decades to do everything they can to weaken the I.R.S.'s enforcement powers.)
While Irwin recognizes the incentive this structure creates for gaming and also the difficulty of enforcement, he seems to accept that there is some inequity that the lower tax rate on pass-through income would address. This is not true.
Irwin is concerned that genuine pass-through income is income from capital, which we tax at a lower rate than income from labor. The current maximum tax rate on dividends and capital gains is 20 percent, compared to the rate of 39.6 percent on labor income. He argues that by taxing pass-through income at the rate on ordinary income we would be imposing too high a rate on the capital income from these companies.
CEPR / September 29, 2017
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Promoting the TPP as an Anti-China Pact: The Flavor of the MonthCEPR / September 29, 2017
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North Korea and Yemen — the Costs of EmpireMark Weisbrot / September 28, 2017
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Washington Post's Entry in Contest for "Worst Headline of 2017"CEPR / September 28, 2017
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Tax Cuts for "Pass-Through" Businesses are Cuts for Rich People, Not BusinessesCEPR / September 28, 2017
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Republicans Propose Tax Cut Plan to Give More Money to Wealthy ContributorsCEPR / September 28, 2017