The Pandemic and Self-Employment: An Update

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Most of the patterns found in 2022 relative to the pre-pandemic period were still present in 2023.
Last summer, we examined the impact of the pandemic on trends in self-employment, comparing the first six months of 2022 with the first six months of the three years prior to the pandemic, 2017-2019. We found a substantial increase in self-employment, with most of the rise among the incorporated self-employed. This was noteworthy, because businesses that are incorporated are likely to be more enduring than those that are not. Those who take the effort to incorporate are often more committed to the business they are running.
We also found that the rise in self-employment was disproportionately among women, and especially women with young children at home. It was also primarily among Black and Hispanic women, and women without college degrees.
As the effects of the pandemic fade further into the distance, and the labor market remains strong, we updated the analysis to see the extent to which the pandemic-related changes are still present. The new findings show little difference between the results for the first six months of 2023 and the first six months of 2022. This suggests that the pandemic-related changes are likely to be enduring.
Summary of 2023 findings:
Most of the patterns found in 2022 relative to the pre-pandemic period were still present in 2023. In the first half of 2023, the overall rate of self-employment remains slightly higher than the pre-pandemic levels, and this is mostly driven by workers reporting incorporated self-employment (at 4.1 percent, compared to 3.8 percent before the pandemic).
While the changes are not large when measured as a share of the total labor force, they are large at their own percent. The share of employed Blacks who reported being self-employed in 2023 was 1.3 percentage points higher than the pre-pandemic share. However, this was an increase of 22.4 percent. For Hispanics, the increase was 0.9 percentage points, an increase of 10.7 percent. The increases are even more dramatic for Black and Hispanic women.
Insofar as we think it is important for people to be able to start their own businesses, and especially for those who have historically faced discrimination, the changes we have seen in this area since the pandemic are a big deal. It seems as though these changes will be enduring.
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