Data Bytes
CEPR produces same-day analyses of government data on employment, inflation, GDP and other topics.
May 2026 CPI Preview: What to Expect
Rising energy prices will likely push inflation higher in May, and food and vehicle prices are likely to continue to increase as well.
Unemployment Steady at 4.3% as the Economy Adds 172,000 Jobs in May
Despite some anomalies, the overall jobs picture looks positive, but that could change if the war continues and oil prices stay high.
May 2026 Jobs Preview: What to Expect
The overall labor market story is somewhat positive; however, if wage growth continues to lag inflation, consumer demand will not be able to sustain growth going forward.
Protect the National Flood Insurance Program’s Community Rating System
A vague recommendation in the new FEMA Review Council report could threaten a key flood insurance program.
April 2026 CPI Preview: What to Expect
Rising gas prices, accelerating rents, and higher medical and transportation costs are expected to keep inflation elevated in April.
Economy Adds 115,000 Jobs in April, Unemployment Steady at 4.3%
April job growth remained solid, but slowing wages and weak worker confidence raise concerns about the economy’s direction.
April 2026 Jobs Preview: What to Expect
The unemployment rate should remain stable, but is not clear that workers are able to secure wage gains — a concerning development in a time of rising inflation.
Investment and Government Spending Boost First Quarter GDP, Inflation Jumps to 4.5%
The first quarter GDP report shows modest growth and rising inflation. With so much spending concentrated in health care and data centers, the outlook is not good.
Florida Workers Deserve A Better May Day Than This
Florida’s proposed SB 1296 would weaken public-sector unions by imposing stricter recertification rules, making it harder for workers to maintain representation.
GDP Preview: What to Expect in the First Quarter 2026 Report
The overall GDP growth rate for the quarter is likely to be around 2.0 percent, but most areas of consumer spending are showing little or no growth.
