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Looking at What People Do, Not What They Say

Article Dean Baker’s Beat the Press

Looking at What People Do, Not What They Say

Trump’s tariffs and budget cuts have triggered a sharp drop in confidence and real consumer spending, signaling real economic trouble.

By Dean Baker

People holding credit cards around a payment terminal on a wooden table, with potted plants and takeaway coffee cups nearby. Change with Trumps tariffs and a drop in consumer confidence may be incoming.
GDP Preview: What to Expect in the First Quarter 2025 Report

Article Data Bytes

GDP Preview: What to Expect in the First Quarter 2025 Report

The first quarterly GDP report under Trump shows early economic impacts from anticipated tariffs, slowing productivity growth, waning factory construction, and heightened uncertainty about future growth, signaling a shift away from the pandemic recovery pattern and raising recession risks.

By Dean Baker

Wooden letters spelling
The Deportation Drive: Trump Promised Millions of Dangerous Criminals

Article Dean Baker’s Beat the Press

The Deportation Drive: Trump Promised Millions of Dangerous Criminals

Driven by its own false narrative about dangerous migrants, the Trump administration is deporting even innocent people — including a US citizen toddler — in a desperate, lawless attempt to maintain the illusion that it is cracking down on criminal immigrants.

By Dean Baker

Gavel on U.S. flag with a blue
The Cost of Trump Craziness: Turning America into Russia

Article Dean Baker’s Beat the Press

The Cost of Trump Craziness: Turning America into Russia

Trump is not going to produce a manufacturing job boom. Instead, he will establish a Russian-type risk premium associated with investing in the United States.

By Dean Baker

Russian flag waves atop a circular building under a clear blue sky. The architecture is light-colored with ornate details, evoking a sense of national pride.
Decoding IMF Accounting, Unlocking the Full Potential of SDRs

Event Recap

Decoding IMF Accounting, Unlocking the Full Potential of SDRs

The Center for Economic and Policy Research, ActionAid USA, MENAFem, Bretton Woods Project, and Latindadd hosted a panel discussion at the IMF-World Bank 2025 Spring Meeting Civil Society Policy Forum.

By CEPR

How Much Have Elon Musk and the DOGE Boys Cost Us?

Article Dean Baker’s Beat the Press

How Much Have Elon Musk and the DOGE Boys Cost Us?

Elon Musk’s DOGE initiative promised $2 trillion in government savings but has delivered minimal documented savings—many of them exaggerated or false—while likely causing greater long-term costs through service disruptions, lawsuits, and regulatory rollbacks that benefit the wealthy.

By Dean Baker

Hands Off rally in Eugene, Oregon, protesting Donald Trump, DOGE, and Elon Musk's cuts to public services and the administration in general.
Trump’s Now You See Them, Now You Don’t Tariffs

Article Dean Baker’s Beat the Press

Trump’s Now You See Them, Now You Don’t Tariffs

Trump’s erratic tariffs were supposed to bring back manufacturing jobs and end our trade deficits. They aren’t likely to do either.

By Dean Baker

Cargo ship docked at a bustling port under a clear blue sky, stacked with colorful shipping containers. Cranes and ropes are visible.
Don’t Believe the Ads! Medicare Advantage Propaganda

Article Expose the Heist: Power and Policy in Unprecedented Times

Don’t Believe the Ads! Medicare Advantage Propaganda

Advertisements claiming to ‘protect Medicare Advantage’ are just spreading dubious information about an obviously wasteful scam.

By Brandon Novick

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