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Overall CPI Up 0.5 Percent in July; Higher Car Prices Still Driving Inflation
Most of the inflation is either bounce back or temporary disruptions, mostly with cars.
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Most of the inflation is either bounce back or temporary disruptions, mostly with cars.
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There is some evidence that the car market may be getting closer to normal.
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The number of unincorporated small businesses is almost 800,000 above the 2019 average.
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Cars alone account for more than half of inflation. A big jump in car and energy prices pushes the core and overall CPI up 0.9 percent in June.
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Prices in June will still be correcting from the sharp plunges in many areas during the pandemic. This means. . .large price increases in hotels, airfares, and apparel, with prices in all three sectors well below their pre-pandemic level.
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Black teen unemployment falls to another record low, falling to 9.3 percent.
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In June, we are likely to see job growth that is somewhat faster than the 540,000 average of the last three months.
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The story this month is overwhelmingly that bounce back inflation was 100 percent predictable, coupled with soaring car prices (both new and used) due to temporary shortages.
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The big uncertainty in the May report will be the index for used cars.