Article • Data Bytes
While data collection in November was interrupted by the government shutdown, the inflation rate for December is likely to be moderate, with the overall CPI and core both coming in at about 0.3 percent.
Article • Dean Baker’s Beat the Press
The November CPI looks encouraging on the surface, but measurement issues suggest inflation may be higher than reported.
Article • Data Bytes
The November CPI is likely to show modestly higher inflation above 3%, reflecting food, energy, tariff-driven goods prices, and rising insurance costs.
Article • Dean Baker’s Beat the Press
A weakening labor market and tariff-driven inflation make a Fed rate cut the obvious move, underscoring how far Trump’s economic boasts diverge from reality.
Article • Dean Baker’s Beat the Press
Dollar store mispricing hides true inflation, angers consumers at checkout, and reflects a deregulated environment that enables corporate cheating.
Article • Dean Baker’s Beat the Press
If Trump pressures a compliant Fed chair to slash rates to 1%, it could trigger inflation fears, weaken the dollar, and push the US toward dangerous economic instability.
Article • Dean Baker’s Beat the Press
Despite Trump’s claims, Biden turned around a pandemic-ravaged economy, driving job growth and reducing inflation by 2024.
Article • Data Bytes
The impact of tariffs and deportations should be clearly visible in the August CPI, giving the Fed a tough choice to combat rising inflation or labor market weakness.
Article • Dean Baker’s Beat the Press
Trump’s tariff-driven inflation could linger, permanently eroding workers’ purchasing power unless wages rise to match higher prices.
Article • Data Bytes
July 2025 CPI is expected to show broad tariff-driven price increases in food, energy, vehicles, and other goods, slowing real wage growth and challenging the Fed.
