David is an economist at CEPR. He has a PhD in computer science from North Carolina State University and an M.A. in economics from George Washington University.
David has extensive experience monitoring international election data and testing theories of fraud and institutional interference, including balloting in Bolivia (“Observing the Observers: The OAS In The 2019 Bolivian Elections” with Jake Johnston, March 2020), Ecuador, Haiti (“The Organization of American States in Haiti: Election Monitoring or Political Intervention?” October 2011), Mexico (“An Analysis of Mexico’s Recounted Ballots” with Mark Weisbrot, Luis Sandoval, and Carla Paredes-Drouet, August 2006), Pakistan, Peru, and Venezuela (“Black Swans, Conspiracy Theories, and the Quixotic Search for Fraud: A Look at Hausmann and Rigobon’s Analysis of Venezuela’s Referendum Vote” with Mark Weisbrot and Todd Tucker, September 2004).
David has written numerous policy papers and analyses on a variety of subjects including “Have US-Funded CARSI Programs Reduced Crime and Violence in Central America?” with Alex Main and Laura Jung; “Latin American Growth in the 21st Century: The ‘Commodities Boom’ That Wasn’t” with Mark Weisbrot, May 2014; “Pension Liabilities: Fear Tactics and Serious Policy” with Dean Baker, January 2012; “The Ryan Medicare Plan: Winners and Losers” with Dean Baker, April 2011; “Social Security and the Age of Retirement,” June 2010; “Poor Numbers: The Impact of Trade Liberalization on World Poverty,” with Mark Weisbrot and Dean Baker, November 2004; and “The Forty-Four Trillion Dollar Deficit Scare,” with Dean Baker, September 2003.
He is the architect of a number of online calculators, including CEPR’s Accurate Benefits Calculator that compares current-law Social Security benefits to the Bush Plan based on “Progressive Indexing” and the Housing Cost Calculator that compares the cost of owning a home relative to renting for a potential new homeowner. The Housing Cost Calculator gave homebuyers a sense of how the bubble in the housing market might have affected them.
Prior to joining CEPR, he worked as a research associate (postdoc) at the Department of Computer Science, North Carolina State University.
All from David Rosnick
Observing the Observers: The OAS in the 2019 Bolivian Elections
This study focuses primarily on the “Final Report” of the OAS audit of Bolivia’s election results and shows how that report’s authors misrepresent data and evidence found in the audit in an attempt to further bolster claims of intentional manipulation.
Unnatural Claims in a ‘Natural Experiment’: Escobari and Hoover on the 2019 Bolivian Elections
In this brief, we replicate the results of Escobari and Hoover, discover errors in their analysis, and eventually find that the approach essentially confirms our own findings that the change in margin was predictable.
What Happened in Bolivia’s 2019 Vote Count?
November 2019, Guillaume Long, David Rosnick, Cavan Kharrazian, and Kevin Cashman
Reducing Carbon Emissions Must Not Be Done on the Backs of the World’s Poorest
David RosnickMarketWatch, July 22, 2019
Hours of Work No Longer Declining and the Climate May Pay the Price
As countries develop, they face a choice: cash in on productivity gains as increased income or to enjoy increased leisure. That leisure means not only shorter workdays or a shorter workweek, but also longer vacations, more paid holidays, paid family and m
A History of Poverty Worldwide
May 2019, David Rosnick
The Impact of OPEC on Climate Change
It is accepted that the Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries (OPEC) is a cartel that restrains oil production and keeps prices higher than they would otherwise be.
Social Security as a Share of Retirement Income
For millions of retirees, Social Security is more than just a part of their retirement income ? in many cases it is the vast majority of their retirement income. Social Security benefits account for half of family income for roughly 50 percent of those ov
What’s In a Lost Decade?
The “Lost Decade” historically refers to the economic failures in Latin America during the 1980s. Starting in 1980, the region’s real per capita GDP fell 9 percent over the next three years and did not fully recover until 1994. More recently, Japan’s expe
Study: Argentina’s Boom Was Little Influenced by Commodity Prices
In 1991, Argentina fixed its peso to the US dollar, but the increasing value of the dollar led to a deep recession beginning in mid-1998, and default on dollar-denominated debt in December 2001. The currency board devalued the peso by 29 percent in Januar