Publications

The first quarter GDP report shows modest growth and rising inflation. With so much spending concentrated in health care and data centers, the outlook is not good.

Florida’s proposed SB 1296 would weaken public-sector unions by imposing stricter recertification rules, making it harder for workers to maintain representation.

The overall GDP growth rate for the quarter is likely to be around 2.0 percent, but most areas of consumer spending are showing little or no growth.

Data centers are expanding and driving up energy costs for consumers. Could publicly owned utilities change that?

The effects of the war on Iran should be clearly evident in the March inflation data.

The jobs report was surprisingly strong, though the drop in average hours and slower wage growth are grounds for concern. It is important to note that the mid-month reference period came before the impact of the Iran war was being felt.

The March jobs report will likely reflect a fragile labor market slipping further as higher costs and uncertainty begin to weigh on hiring.

Unions have lost ground over the past 40 years — see which states have been most dramatically impacted, and which have held strong.

The year-over-year inflation rate for February is likely to inch higher, which should not be cause for concern. The war in Iran could change that picture.

The job loss reported for February, together with the downward revisions for the prior two months, is unambiguously bad news, and the three-month average is still weak — more signs of a labor market that is not doing well.