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Obama cada vez más aislado por Siria y la oposición a sus planes crece a nivel nacional e internacionalMark Weisbrot / August 30, 2013
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Labor Market Policy Research Reports, August 24 – 30, 2013CEPR and / August 30, 2013
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Obama Increasingly Isolated on Syria as Opposition Mounts at Home and AbroadMark Weisbrot / August 30, 2013
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Second Quarter GDP: Strong Growth Ain't What It Used to BeDean Baker / August 30, 2013
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The Old Blame Technology for Inequality StoryThere are a lot of economists who are determined to say that technology is responsible for inequality rather than policy. There are many parts to this story that seem absurd on their face.
Are doctors, dentists and lawyers really whizs at technology? These occupations make up a very large share of the 1 percent. They sustain their income the old-fashioned way, they have the government arrest the competition. When more middle income workers like nurses and computer engineers start to see their pay rise, their employers run to the government whining about shortages so that they can bring in foreign workers to keep down wages.
The financial sector has become a fraud factory. Top executives at banks can pocket tens or even hundreds of millions of dollars off various illegal schemes and never fear more than repaying a portion in penalties. And of course the laws that protect workers' right to organize unions have become a joke, while the laws that protect employers from organized workers remain sacred. (Union officials who openly support a secondary strike don't risk a slap on the wrist from the National Labor Relations Board, they go to jail.) I could go on (and do).
But there is a big market for economists who produce stories saying that the problem is technology, so there will be economists who respond to the demand. Brad Plummer gives us a couple of examples in a recent blogpost.
The first is from Catherine Mulbrandon of Visualizing Economics. She gives us a graph which is supposed to show us that the industries that pay in the middle of the wage distribution are shrinking, while industries at the top and bottom are expanding. This is the story of wage polarization, with a disappearing middle.
Perhaps I have a problem with my eyesight, but it's hard to see that story in the graph. The industry with the biggest increase in employment over the period from 2001 to 2011 is health care and social services, which sits almost directly on top of the line showing the average for all industries. Manufacturing, which is somewhat above the average pay rate, shows a big decline as we all know. However the industry grouping "professional, scientific, and technical services," which is only slightly higher on the pay scale, is number 3 in job growth over this period.
Retail, which is definitely towards the lower end, is a big source of job loss over this period. Education services, which is closer to the average wage than manufacturing, is a big job gainer. If wage polarization is going on, you won't know it from this graph.
Dean Baker / August 29, 2013
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The Mining Vote Will Probably Not Be a Big Factor in Virgina's Gubernatorial RaceDean Baker / August 29, 2013
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Rising Mortgage Rates Did Not Affect June Case-Shiller DataDean Baker / August 28, 2013
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Jump In Mortgage Rates Dampens Irrational Exuberance in Housing MarketAugust 27, 2013 (Housing Market Monitor)
Dean Baker / August 27, 2013
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Missing Facts from Andrew Sorkin's Discussion of Bailouts and BonusesDean Baker / August 27, 2013
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Many Economists Say the Debt Ceiling Battle Had No Notable Impact on the U.S. EconomyDean Baker / August 27, 2013
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The Numbers Are In: Obamacare Increased Percentage of People Working 26-29 Hours a WeekOkay, all of you socialist nationalized health care loving Obama backers are going to have to own up to the evils of the Affordable Care Act (ACA). We now have the full six months of data for the first half of 2013. This is the period when employers thought they would be subject to sanctions for not covering workers who put in 30 hours a week or more. (The administration announced the suspension of this provision on July 2.)
It turns out that the percentage of workers who are putting in 26-29 hours (just under the 30-hour cutoff) is up. The share went up from 0.61 percent of the workforce in 2012 to 0.64 percent of the workforce in 2013, an increase that corresponds to slightly more than 40,000 workers who have work schedules that put them just below the threshold as shown in the table below.
Dean Baker and / August 26, 2013
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Pinching Pensions to Keep Wall Street Fat and HappyDean Baker
Truthout, August 26, 2013
The Huffington Post, August 26, 2013
Dean Baker / August 26, 2013
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United States Trails Basket Case Japan: But Deficit Is DownDean Baker
The Guardian Unlimited, August 26, 2013
Dean Baker / August 26, 2013
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The Economy Did Not Bounce Back from the 2001 Recession and We Did Not Face Another Great Depression in 2008Dean Baker / August 26, 2013
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The NYT Doesn't Like the French Welfare StateEarlier this year the NYT gained considerable notoriety for claiming the Danish welfare state was on its last legs. While the article included several stories that made this point, the data refused to cooperate. By almost any measure Denmark's economy looks considerably stronger than the U.S. economy.
Having struck out in its effort to push its Danish welfare state scare story, it now appears to be turning its attention to France. An article in today's paper, which was headlined "a proud nation ponders how to halt its slow decline," told readers:
"Today, however, Europe is talking about “the French question”: can the Socialist government of President François Hollande pull France out of its slow decline and prevent it from slipping permanently into Europe’s second tier?
"At stake is whether a social democratic system that for decades prided itself on being the model for providing a stable and high standard of living for its citizens can survive the combination of globalization, an aging population and the acute fiscal shocks of recent years.
"Those close to Mr. Hollande say that he is largely aware of what must be done to cut government spending and reduce regulations weighing down the economy, and is carefully gauging the political winds. But what appears to be missing is the will; ..."
None of these assertions are backed up by any evidence. For example, "Europe" is clearly not talking about the "the French question." Unnamed individuals who the NYT views as important may be talking about the French question, but this is most definitely not a major topic of conversation for people across the continent. What the article is revealing is an agenda that a small group of people, presumably most of whom are wealthy and powerful, have for France.
In the same vein it later tells readers;
"There is a broad consensus that real social and structural renovation can be carried out only by the left."
It never reveals who is part of this "broad consensus." Obviously the consensus does not include the vast majority of French people who clearly do not want to see major changes to French society.
Dean Baker / August 25, 2013