Article Artículo
Macho Men, Social Security, and the Chained CPIDean Baker
Truthout, February 25, 2013
Dean Baker / February 25, 2013
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The Family and Medical Leave Act at 20, Part 3Eileen Appelbaum / February 25, 2013
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Robert Samuelson Tells Us That Our Ratio of Interest Payments to GDP Is Near a Post-World War II LowActually he neglected to mention this fact in his column this morning. (It's less than 1.0 percent of GDP and only about 0.5 percent of GDP if we net out the interest rebated by the Fed.) Samuelson tells us:
"The true national debt could be triple the conventional estimate, anywhere from $11 trillion to $31 trillion by my reckoning. The differences mostly reflect explicit and implicit “off-budget” federal loan guarantees. In another economic downturn, these could result in large losses that would be brought “on budget” and worsen already huge deficits. That’s the danger.
"My purpose is not to scare or sensationalize. It’s simply to illuminate the problem."
Actually, Samuelson may have inadvertently done the latter.
If you want to make the jump from the $11 trillion commonly used number, or the $16 trillion debt subject to the legal debt ceiling, to get to Samuelson's $31 trillion, you have to add $2.9 trillion in loan guarantees (largely student loans and small businesses), $5.1 trillion in mortgages guaranteed through Fannie and Freddie, and $7.3 trillion in federal deposit insurance. What's neat about these additional debts is that they are tied to assets.
In the case of small businesses, the assets are the businesses. In the case of mortgages, the assets are the houses. In the case of deposit insurance, the assets are the deposits and the banks' assets. (I left out student loans -- we can't force people to work, but it is pretty hard to imagine a situation where all of our doctors and lawyers can't pay any of the debt they owe.)
Dean Baker / February 25, 2013
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Are Republicans Confused on the Issues Involved with the Sequester or Is Ezra Klein?Dean Baker / February 24, 2013
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Cancer Drug Prices: We Could Take Away Their Government Granted MonopolyDean Baker / February 24, 2013
report informe
High-Performance Work Practices and Sustainable Economic GrowthEileen Appelbaum, , and / February 23, 2013
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People Driving West Are Getting Closer to Falling Into the Pacific OceanDean Baker / February 23, 2013
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Economists Discover that Fed Bond Purchases Affect the BudgetDean Baker / February 23, 2013
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Labor Market Policy Research Reports, February 9 – 22, 2013CEPR and / February 22, 2013
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Latin America and the Caribbean
Killings Continue in Bajo Aguán as New Report Documents Abuses by U.S.-Trained Honduran Special Forces UnitAlexander Main / February 22, 2013
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The Family and Medical Leave Act at 20, Part 2Eileen Appelbaum / February 22, 2013
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The Post Pushes Trade Agreement in News Section, AgainDean Baker / February 22, 2013
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Someone Has to Tell David Brooks that Social Security and Medicare are Politically PopularDean Baker / February 22, 2013
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Privacy Concerns Would not Prevent Bank of America from Talking About Bank PolicyDean Baker / February 22, 2013
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WAPO Uses News Section to Talk About "Revenue-Bleeding Entitlement System"Dean Baker / February 22, 2013
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Latin America and the Caribbean
Washington Post, Miami Herald Issue Embarrassingly Erroneous Editorials on EcuadorJake Johnston and Dan Beeton / February 21, 2013
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Fix the Debt's Fuzzy MathDean Baker
The Nation, February 20, 2013
Dean Baker / February 21, 2013
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Both Duvalier and the UN Continue to Try to Dodge ResponsibilityCEPR / February 21, 2013