Spain's Growth Is Worse Than Expected Because It Is Reducing Its Deficit

October 20, 2011

The NYT left this important fact out of a discussion of the state of the debt crisis in Europe. It noted that lower than projected growth is likely to cause Spain to miss its deficit target. The predicted result of cuts in government spending and increases in taxes in the middle of a severe downturn is lower growth. (GDP is equal to consumption, investment, government spending, and net exports. If government spending falls in the middle of a severe downturn, there is no obvious mechanism through which one of the other components would grow to fill the gap.) 

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